in the context of the overall economic situation being not optimistic, the elevator industry in china still maintains a steady growth trend. the growth rate of the industry exceeded expectations in 2014, and most manufacturers lived relatively moist. for the coming 2015, can the elevator industry continue to maintain high growth? especially after the implementation of the “special equipment safety law”, what kind of changes will happen in the elevator industry? which companies are expected to become market players? which technologies will dominate the development of the industry? this issue of elevator weekly magazine organizes a forecast analysis of the development of the elevator industry in 2014.
the "special equipment safety law" clarifies the responsibility for the installation and maintenance of elevator manufacturing units. more and more tendering and purchasing units will write relevant requirements into the bidding documents.
the picture shows that the reviewing experts are evaluating the bid documents.
slow growth in production and sales growth
although the growth rate of elevator production and sales in china has slowed down in the past two years, the increase is still considerable. in 2012, the output and sales volume of elevators nationwide reached 529,000 units, an increase of 15.8% over 2011. according to the data from the china elevator association, the output of elevators nationwide in 2013 was about 600,000 units, which still maintained a 15% increase, exceeding expectations.
some industry analysts believe that although the national macro-control of real estate has a certain impact on the elevator market, the implementation of new urbanization policies, the construction of affordable housing, and the rapid development of public transportation in large and medium-sized cities across the country have, to some extent, delayed commercial housing. elevator production and sales decline. overall, the elevator industry will continue to maintain a healthy and stable development trend.
experts in the industry stated that the increase and reduction in growth rate will become the norm for the development of china's elevator market in the next few years. this means that china's elevator production and sales volume will continue to grow steadily in 2014, and the estimated growth rate can still be maintained at more than 10%.
in the past, the elevator market demand was mainly concentrated in first-tier cities and second-tier cities, but the demand for elevators in the third- and fourth-tier cities in the past two years increased rapidly. with the continuous reduction of construction land in big cities, some small towns have gradually become new frontiers for real estate developers. in addition, the number of old elevators in the first-tier cities began to increase, and the number of elevator upgrade projects has also become a new market highlight.
increased market competition
although the market capacity of elevators has been continuously expanding every year, it has become an indisputable fact that market competition has become increasingly fierce. this mainly stems from two aspects: on the one hand, there are too many elevator manufacturers, resulting in excess production capacity and unbalanced supply and demand; on the other hand, due to increased labor costs, rising raw material prices, etc., the cost of elevator companies increases, and the overall industry profits. reduce. some large manufacturers can only sell at a reduced price in order to ensure their market share, and those small and medium-sized enterprises that have relied on price advantages to win the market will lose some of their markets.
with the continuous intensification of market competition, smes lacking core technologies and relying on price war for a long time will be gradually eliminated.
installation maintenance to industrialization
on january 1, 2014, the implementation of the "special equipment safety law" pointed out the direction for the development of the elevator industry. the attention paid to installation and maintenance has become the focus of this law. the law requires that the installation, modification and repair of elevators must be carried out by the elevator manufacturing company or the unit it has entrusted to obtain the corresponding permit in accordance with this law. where an elevator manufacturing unit entrusts other units to install, reform, or repair elevators, it shall conduct safety instructions and monitoring of its installation, reconstruction, and repair, and perform inspections and commissioning in accordance with the requirements of the safety technical specifications. the elevator manufacturer shall be responsible for the safety performance of the elevators. .
the maintenance of elevators shall be carried out by the elevator manufacturing unit or the installation, reconstruction, or repair unit that has obtained corresponding permission in accordance with this law. the maintenance unit of the elevator shall strictly comply with the requirements of the safety technical specification in the maintenance, ensure the safety performance of the elevator it maintains, and be responsible for implementing the on-site safety protection measures to ensure the construction safety.
it can be said that the "special equipment safety law" put forward higher requirements for elevator installation and maintenance. however, as far as the entire market is concerned, the phenomena of incomplete installation and non-standard maintenance are widespread. in order to avoid this situation, some manufacturers have begun to install maintenance measures to improve the quality of installation and maintenance, ensure the safety of elevator use, and strive to provide customers with "through-train" services such as sales, installation, and maintenance, and install maintenance into the industry. it is a general trend.
intelligent elevator safety supervision
the increase in the number of elevators also raises higher requirements for elevator safety supervision. it is understood that at present, the number of elevators in china is about 3 million. in the face of the huge number of elevators in use, how to reduce the safety accident rate of elevators has become a difficult problem that must be solved by the regulatory authorities.
the application of internet of things technology in the field of elevators has enabled the intelligentization of elevator safety supervision. the so-called elevator safety supervision internet of things technology is to install a sensor for the elevator and connect it to the internet and mobile phones. it can continuously transmit information to the upper-level platform within 24 hours. in order to ensure that the elevator fails, the maintenance personnel receive the information at the first time and take emergency measures to improve the supervision efficiency and effectively avoid the occurrence of security accidents.
as the internet of things technology matures, and the constant attention of elevators, safety and security from supervisors, manufacturers, and users, 2014 will be regarded as the first year of the development of the internet of things elevator technology. more and more cities will introduce the internet of things technology to elevators. regulatory system.
safe and energy-saving technologies continue to upgrade
every technological upgrade will bring about changes in the industry. however, for the elevator industry, safety and energy conservation are still the main theme of the development of the industry in 2014.
due to the frequent occurrence of elevator safety accidents in the past two years, both the industry and elevator manufacturers have increased elevator safety standards. safety regulations for the manufacture and installation of escalators and moving walkways implemented in 2012, "anti-collision baffle," "anti-clamping device," "handrail belt lower edge distance," "use instructions," and "system stopping distance." five aspects were revised.
for the first time, the new national standard applies the sil electrical system safety grade standards to escalators. for escalator overspeed protection and retrograde protection failure rate, the new national standard is allowed to fail once every ten million hours of operation. for an escalator rung, the new national standard requires that a passenger step on a step 5 million times before being allowed to crack.
yongda elevator successfully developed two safety technology patents, “brake force detection” and “staper self-rescue”, which fundamentally avoided the hidden danger of elevator safety due to the failure of the brake.
permanent magnet synchronous gearless traction machines, energy feedback technology and other applications, make the elevator more energy-efficient.